Russia Plans Hybrid Warfare Even if Fighting Stops in Ukraine

European allies in Ukraine doubt that US president Donald Trump’s efforts to end the invasion of Russia is heading towards a real deal. If Trump succeeds in negotiating a kind of peace that Kiev and Moscow can approve, then the “coalition who is willing”, as European countries call them, will suddenly have to put their money in their place. For Britain, France and some Baltic countries, which may mean their forces have committed to Ukraine to monitor peace. For others, such as Germany and Poland, it may mean that other billions of euros support Ukraine because it rebuilds both the country and its military ability.

European capitals may be divided into exact security guarantees, but the only thing they agree is that any Trump Trump peace deal will not mean the mission has been accomplished.

European allies in Ukraine doubt that US President Donald Trump’s efforts to end the invasion of Russia is heading towards a real deal. If Trump succeeds in negotiating a kind of peace that Kiev and Moscow can approve, then the “coalition who is willing”, as European countries call them, will suddenly have to put their money in their place. For Britain, France and some Baltic countries, which may mean their forces have committed to Ukraine to monitor peace. For others, such as Germany and Poland, it may mean that other billions of euros support Ukraine because it rebuilds both the country and its military ability.

European capitals may be divided into exact security guarantees, but the only thing they agree is that any Trump Trump peace deal will not mean the mission has been accomplished.

Even if a peace agreement is agreed upon, it will remain in the interests of Russian President Vladimir Putin to continue cutting in both Ukraine and its international allies. It can be said that Russia is much better in the hybrid war than it is in the traditional war, as its failure to overcome the country it has shown. A long time before the start of the comprehensive invasion in 2022, the Kremlin sponsored heterogeneous discrimination campaigns around the world and through the ideological spectrum-from trying to build an audience between Western leftists to accuse Ukraine of financing the Islamic State and claiming that its regime members are for Satan.

The aim of misleading is not necessarily convincing people of strange allegations, but rather to cultivate “fear, uncertainty and doubt” – as the old tobacco slogan. In the context of Ukraine, security officials say the strategy is designed to make Europeans wonder whether they really want to see this war rising.

“We are already seeing Russia trying to actively destabilize the confidence of the coalition.” ))

“There are already sympathetic to Russians in countries such as Italy, Germany, France and others,” said Passi Ironin Watt, a security expert in the Finnish army and recently to the European Union.

If European forces in Ukraine end, experts say these types of misinformation against Ukraine and its Western allies will increase, although they may become directly linked to violence and escalation.

“The Kremlin agents have repeatedly claimed that Ukraine is making dirty bombs or attacking nuclear power plants,” said Ironin Watt. “It is easy to see how this can be rising into false flags, claiming that Ukraine has broken the peace agreement” and gave Russia an excuse for revenge. By doing this, Russia will “test the determination of the so -called security guarantees” and know exactly to what extent was the United States and the Europeans ready to go to defend Ukraine.

Elsewhere in the information space, analysts and officials fear that Ukraine may be strong in crime in the end in late long elections. President Voludmir Zelinski has long said that Ukraine will not be able to hold elections until the end of the war – as required by the most common interpretation of the Ukrainian constitution. However, if the fighting stops, it is possible that it can be pressured for one contract. I have previously reported that Trump himself wanted Ukraine to hold elections.

Officials say that the danger here is that the Kremlin advertising machine will greatly go as part of an attempt to install a new Ukrainian system that prefers Russia. The intervention of elections in Russia worldwide is well known, but it has reached new horizons in Eastern Europe – albeit successfully.

“There will be an intensification to make Zelinski look corrupt, and he claimed that he abandoned the money that was donated to Ukraine, and made him appear illegal in general,” said Ironin Watt. “Post -war societies are vulnerable to external influence because tired citizens want to change, or the questions answered that politicians cannot answer. They are out of their anger from the ruling party, which the Kremlin will benefit from.”

Of course, the exploitation of the information space is only one interface of the hybrid war in Russia. In recent years, the suspected Kremlin -sponsored sabotage campaigns ranging from electronic attacks to burned logistical service centers in other countries have become increasingly common.

If the Europeans put the shoes on the ground in Ukraine, the countries that contribute to this effort may see more realistic and traditional escalation.

“If the Baltic states such as Lithuania and Estonia send forces, you will likely see that Russia will respond through the engineering of larger flows of irregular migration to those countries or even intensifying their presence near their borders,” said Pavel Sankin, a visitor colleague in the European Council for External Relations, in reference to a tactic used by Putin, Pylarus.

“This would put great pressure on those countries, both of whom are NATO members, because it would compel them to think exactly about the readiness of their allies to protect them, which they must monitor in their revenge.”

Although Russia may not want to attack European forces directly inside Ukraine, there are other ways that it can deploy in soldiers.

“The Kremlin will go through the backgrounds of those who are deployed and may try to discredit them personally. They may also revolve about stories about foreign forces that drink in Ukraine or do not respect local communities to provoke conflicts with the local population,” Sankin said.

Over the past two decades, Kremlin has repeatedly has shown how willing to use each tool at its disposal to manipulate public opinion and intimidate international opponents. Trump should be under any illusion that, even if he comes out of the greatest deal in his life, Putin will adhere to the agreement for a long time.