Is It Time for Emmanuel Macron to Resign?

France finds itself mired in a political crisis. Prime Minister Francois Bayro, unable to secure the majority of votes in the National Assembly in favor of the proposed austerity budget, called for a vote on Monday, September 8 – a vote that he would lose it. If the government falls, France will find four governments since President Emmanuel Macron was re -elected in 2022.

Will Macron respond to this recent political crisis by dissolving parliament again, as he did when he faced a similar dead end in the summer of 2024? Or will he have to resign, because the voices influencing the political spectrum urges it to do so? It does not seem to not provide a solution to France – but no expected alternative.

Macron himself invented the impossible position he finds now. France has stumbled with a suspended parliament since June 2024, when the National Assembly has come in the hope of an apparently calm ascension to the extremist National Rasmillit (RN), a party party party, Marine Play. The step has led to reverse results: RN won more than ever, and no stable majority coalition has appeared over the past 15 months.

If the government of Bayro falls on Monday, the constitution allows the resolution of Parliament again. However, if he does so, he will still find himself over the dilemma centuries.

On the one hand, RN can win enough seats this time to compel the President to appoint Jordan Bardela as Prime Minister. Since Macron has always presented himself as the only French political leader who is able to stop the rise of the extreme right, this would represent the final failure of his presidency, even if he was strengthening for another year and a half as the nominal but unable to the nominal state.

On the other hand, if Barilla does not become prime minister, Macron will have to choose the prime minister from one of the other parties. Since his re -election in Macron in 2022, these parties have demonstrated unable or not wanting to settle enough to make progress in urgent issues on this day, including budget, retirement, immigration and environmental protection.

Let’s look at these two possibilities. Is RN to win enough seats to make Bardela Prime Minister? He failed to do this after only 2024 solution because the leftist parties were hastily “a new popular front” to prevent them. Over the past year, this alliance has always broken the roots irreversibly, mainly into the symptoms of Jean -Luke Milinkon, the leader of France in the far left (LFI). In addition, Bardela recently placed himself as a business friendly candidate in speeches for French business organizations. Some observers even believe that it started to differ from Le Pen by taking a lower line of populists, more than neoliberalism on economic issues. Hence, RN may be the best of what it was a year ago.

Two additional factors can hinder the extremist right party. First, many people in France, including some who voted in favor of RN in 2024, felt dismayed by President Donald Trump’s strong rule in the United States (79 percent of Trump’s era), and Le Pen’s last association with the Maga movement may discourage some of them to vote for her party. Secondly, Le Pen was convicted last March from embezzling public funds and is currently preventing candidacy for positions, pending the appeal. Whether this will deter voters still should be seen.

By moving now to the other Macron century dilemma, what will happen if RN fails to improve his position in the association and does not become Pardla Prime Minister? Where can the president turn in search of a leader who is able to form a government with sufficient support to survive for more than a few months while struggling with thorny issues that retreated from previous governments? He already looked at the right, with his appointment to Michel Barnier in September 2024; It lasted slightly over three months. He looked at the center, with Bayro, who would have last nine months if he fell on Monday.

If he now turns to the left, he will have to make concessions resisted so far. The Socialists (PS) suggested an anti -Bayro budget budget that they would vote for censorship on Monday. They want a tax on the wealthy, which will retract the tax reform that Macron considers one of his most important reforms, and they want to cancel the reform of pension (increased age of legal retirement), which he considers less important. If he admits these issues, he will actively announce his failure to preserve while preserving the external motifs of positions as his only consolation.

Even if he succumbs to PS demands, there is nothing to ensure that the Socialist Prime Minister remains in office for a long time. Without the support of LFI, the largest party on the left, the Socialists will remain out of the majority, even if they can secure the initial support of the smaller left -wing parties such as vegetables and Communists. They will need additional sounds from the center and right, and the necessary settlement will lead to a quarterly battle within the PS already.

The clay worse, remains slightly over 18 months old until the upcoming presidential elections in April 2027, and the possibility of Macron resignation, which led to the intensification of early elections from the competition that will usually occur between the presidential hope. Voters who do not like turmoil may be, and therefore may be ready to urge their leaders to be reluctant to see them as a president who takes the current responsibility.

In fact, the crisis is deeper than it seems. Parliament is divided into three groups that are not compatible with each other – right, right, and center. Moreover, each of the same blocs is divided into bitter opposition factions. The deep enmity was mentioned between Mélenchon’s LFI and Olivier Faure PS. The right, as soon as it is dominated by Colossus of Charles de Gaulle, now has a group of two destinations who calculate whether there is any way to overcome Le Pen or any option other than joining it, as did former Republican leader Eric Sioti during the previous solution.

At the center, where Macron once enjoyed overwhelming support (in his first term, he had an absolute majority in the National Assembly), there are now only riots of aspirations, as former heads of ministers édouard Felipe, élisabeth, and Gabriel Attal are quickly joined by Bayrou, and prepares to run by Sniping.

What can be done to save the situation? in FigaroFormer President Nicholas Sarkozy holds Macron to resign, because the resignation will only exacerbate the turmoil. For Sarkozy, the dissolution of Parliament is the only way to get out of the crisis, undoubtedly because it is believed to lead to the victory of the extreme right and thus clarify the political situation that Macron believes in 2024.

The unannounced hypothesis of Sarkozy’s analysis is that Macron’s victory in 2017 undermined the Yemeni -left opposition that provided the stability mechanism of the Fifth Republic. As long as the main party from the left (the Socialists) and the right (the last Republican) can follow various reliable policies without giving up the possibility of a compromise, the semi -new constitution of the Fifth Republic with the twin executives does not expand.

However, Macron suggested something new: the presidency of the planet of subscribers that were not left or right, which led to the decline of all the opposition to the extreme, which could not be conceived. For Sarkozy, however, after the center’s credibility has eroded for eight years in power, there is no alternative to returning one of the parties to the “Republican Sagittarius”, and for him who can mean surrender to Loop.

The irony is that the greatest political achievements in Sarkozy had stopped the rise of the Lab-when it was still headed by Marine’s father, Jean-Marie, in 2007. The solution that the former president proposes to Macron is a recognition of his failure. And if Macron accepted it, it will be a recognition of his failure as well. But French voters can be decorated, and the results of the new elections may be surprised by everyone again. While their patience has run out of Macron, they may not yet be prepared to embrace the inexperienced and losing Jordan, Marin Le Pen, who is hovering over him.

Who knows what are the possible alternatives that the next National Assembly might offer? Macron is about to throw dice again, this time out of necessity instead of choosing. The poet Stéphane Mallarmé once wrote, “The dice will never eliminate the opportunity.” Despite their reputation in rationality, the people of France again are hostage to wealth.