Afghanistan Can’t Handle Another Refugee Crisis – Foreign Policy

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The most prominent events this week: Afghanistan is struggling with a Refugee crisis Iran is also implanted quickly tens of thousands of people, a Bangladeshi air force plane crashed It kills at least 31 people, and hosts the Indian Prime Minister Maldives Narendra Modi As a guest of honor in Independence Day celebrations.

Afghanistan intensification crisis

The intense refugee crisis plays quickly along Iran’s borders with Afghanistan. More than 700,000 Afghan returned to Afghanistan from Iran during the first six months of the year, according to United Nations figures. But this number has increased significantly in the past few weeks, as Iran is planting tens of thousands of Afghans.

More than 500,000 Afghans were expelled from Iran between June 24 and July 9. By mid -July, New York Times I stated that the number of Afghans who left Iran in 2025 had reached 1.4 million, and most of them returned by force; It may reach 4 million by the end of the year. Almost 20,000 people are now entering Afghanistan from Iran every day.

Most of those who were in the case of illegal refugees were in Iran, although some of those who were expelled had a legal status. Their ordeal represents a complex humanitarian emergency.

However, it has clear drivers. Earlier this year, economic stress prompted Tehran’s expulsion orders. In recent weeks, Iranian officials have justified this step by accusing Afghan refugees of spying Israel during the recent war with Iran. The number of people leaving Iran to Afghanistan has chosen greatly after the war ended on June 24.

Afghanistan has now seen three refugee crises in the past decade, but often overwhelmed by other global emergencies.

In 2015, the intense conflict in Afghanistan pushed huge migration – at the height of the Syrian refugee crisis. In February 2022, a few months after the Taliban returned to power, and an other crisis of refugees, Russia launched its full invasion of Ukraine. The current crisis is revealed among the humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza.

However, it is very important that the world does not look far now. the New York Times Sending from the Iranian border Afghanistan provides a tragic picture. Thousands of people reach Afghanistan daily in the burning heat – homeland, job or communications in the country. Among the returnees are women and girls who fled after the Taliban returned and they cannot now work or go to school.

In March, UNICEF estimated that 23 million Afghans, more than 50 percent of the population, would require humanitarian assistance this year – and that was before most of the expulsion began from Iran. In May, the United Nations Development Program estimated that 97 percent of Afghans live below the poverty line and 69 percent unemployed. Acute public health crises raging.

But since 2021, international humanitarian aid has declined to Afghanistan, to a large extent due to the return of the Taliban-with many unconfirmed leaders-to the government in Kabul and the crises eruption elsewhere. The United Nations, one of the only closed aid sources for Afghanistan, has only gathered 22 percent of this year’s humanitarian assistance.

The Taliban regime may boast its ability to absorb the returnees from Iran, but the scope and speed of flows represents a tremendous challenge that would exacerbate economic and humanitarian stress in Afghanistan. Taliban leaders may try to take advantage of their friendly relations and common concerns with Iran to pressure them to slow the rate of expulsion. But Tehran seems not so unwilling to soften its position.

Unfortunately, the crisis can increase worse. Pakistan – another higher destination for Afghan refugees – is forcing people to return to Afghanistan, albeit at a slower rate. The same applies to the United Arab Emirates, although US President Donald Trump pledged to protect many Afghans in the United Arab Emirates who worked in the US military.

Many people are forced to return to a country where they do not want to be-which is not ready to receive them.

What we are following

A fatal plane crashed in Bangladesh. South Asia was beaten another air tragedy, this time in Bangladesh, where an air force plane crashed into a training mission on a private campus in Dhaka, killing at least 31 people and wounding more, most of them students. Many of those who were killed and wounded are young children.

The incident represents the bloodiest tragedy of its kind in Bangladesh, which announced a day of mourning on Tuesday. The army said that a “technical failure” led to the collapse, and the Air Force Committee is expected to achieve. But some Bangladeshis are not satisfied with the initial dealing of the tragedy of the interim government.

Hundreds of students protested in Dhaka on Tuesday, and some barricades in government facilities. They called on the country to stop using “old” aircraft in training tasks and demanded more information about the victims of the crash. The delivery of the Chinese-made F-7 plane, participating in the accident, arrived in Bangladesh in 2013.

Moody in the Maldives. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will visit the Maldives on Friday and Saturday, after a trip to the United Kingdom to organize a new trade deal. Moody is the guest of honor at the Independence Day celebrations in the Maldives on July 26, and he will be the first foreign president of governments invited to the state of the island since President Mohamed Mouizo took office in 2023.

India and Maldives are expected to discuss cooperation on economics, maritime security and renewable energy. According to what was reported, they negotiate a new free trade agreement.

This represents a shift from the beginning of the term Muizzu, when bilateral relations with India were fraught with tensions. Muzzu ran a pledge to expel the modest Indian military presence from the Maldives, which he achieved. He also signed new defense deals with China, and when many of the Maldives Moody Island officials insulted social media, many Indians prompted an invitation to boycott tourism.

But the relationship between India and Miladif was not convicted. Muzzu’s goal was not to get rid of India, but rather to achieve more balance in the Maldives relations with the main players in the region. India enjoys luxury – especially the large amount of economic aid it provides to the Maldives – which guarantees a committed bilateral partnership.

Pakistan diplomacy. Pakistani Foreign Minister Isaac is located in the United States this week due to the associations of the United Nations in New York, where he is currently holding the periodic presidency of the United Nations Security Council, and meetings with Trump administration officials in Washington. His visit comes at a time when Islamabad-with economic tensions and political tensions at home-has foreign achievements for politics.

In recent weeks, Pakistan has reduced dangerous tensions with Afghanistan. Strengthening long relationships with Bangladesh. The balanced relations with the competing forces, including China, Iran, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the United States. Washington’s visit is part of an unexpected batch of relations between the United States of Pakistani, after Trump hosted Pakistani army commander Ameme Monir at the White House in June.

A house may not fully escape from the local challenges of his government: Pakistani supporters of former Prime Minister Imran Khan sometimes have protests against visiting Pakistani officials.

Under the radar

It was two difficult months of the United States and India relations. For New Delhi, Trump offered to mediate the Kashmir conflict and repeatedly claimed that he had ended the conflict between India and Pakistan. He threatened to definitions on Brex members, including India, Washington, severe demands in continuous commercial conversations.

Moreover, the US State Department issued a rare consultant to travel to India, and the Trump administration has indicated a strong desire to strengthen relations with Pakistan. That is why the announcement by the Indian army that three times the Apache attack had arrived in the country on Tuesday, it provides a breath of fresh air.

The news provides a useful lesson for the relationship of the United States and India: patience is a virtue. The two countries ended a deal to send helicopters to India in 2020, but the supply chain disorders and other delays prompted the delivery date for more than a year until after the specified date. The strong Apaches will enhance air capabilities in India and enhance the bilateral defense partnership.

The delivery of helicopters can lead to the revival of hopes that despite the recent bumps to the United States and India relations, the relationship can regain their foot.

Read the most read this week

Regional voices

A Kunsel Editorial It deals with whether Bhutan needs a more powerful political opposition: “Our political scene is often characterized by a unique approach to the opposition, as silence is often equivalent to wisdom and maturity. But expectation was that the opposition would enter at the right moment, for the most available reasons.”

in Prothom aloEducation expert Farha Nofin The capabilities are not in place, the youth of Bangladesh: “The truth is that many of our brightest students never realize their own brilliance. Why? Because no one told them to what extent they could go, because their parents were not aware of the academic maps that lead to the best institutions, the best scholarships, and the best paths on tomorrow.”

in Express TribuneAnd professor and writer M. Nader Nader It regrets how two Pakistani celebrities, Aisha Khan and Humira Asghar, regretted, without anyone noticing: “The tragic deaths … the ugly face of our delivery and social communication in the virtual world,” he wrote. “[S]The media has turned the man paradoxically into an island. “