E3 Countries U.K., France, Germany Trigger Iran Snapback Sanctions

On Thursday, Germany, France and the United Kingdom raised the so -called United Nations sanctions of United Nations sanctions against Iran, after years of talks to derive more cooperation and transparency on the Iranian nuclear program.

The three European countries, known as E3, were all parties in the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal that was aimed at restricting Iran’s nuclear weapons development, which president Donald Trump abandoned in 2018.

Germany, France and the United Kingdom on Thursday Arose The so -called Snapback with United Nations sanctions against Iran, after years of talks to raise more cooperation and transparency on the Iranian nuclear program, unprecedented.

The three European countries, known as E3, were all parties in the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal that was supposed to restrict Iran’s development of nuclear weapons, but it was abandoned by President Donald Trump in 2018. E3 said It took the step because Iran had failed to comply with its obligations towards the IAEA Agency under the 2015 nuclear deal, which is the JCPOA joint action plan.

“Iran’s lack of compliance with JCPOA is clear and deliberate, and the main attention sites for deployment in Iran are outside the monitoring of the International Atomic Energy Agency, “France’s foreign ministers, Germany,” and thus its nuclear program remains a clear threat to international peace and security. “

The official notification of the United Nations Put in movement A train that can almost end up with a return, within a little more than a month, from half of the United Nations sanctions before Iran has been suspended over the past decade.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio Applaud The move said that the United States will work with European allies to complete Snapback for these sanctions, while it remains open to diplomacy.

These decisions have sought to reduce Iran’s ability to enrich uranium and gain the necessary components for nuclear and ballistic missile programs as well as traditional weapons. E3 takes a step now because its ability to summon Snapback ends in October, so European countries felt frustrated by Iran’s lack of cooperation that they should use this ability now or lose it forever. Although the sanctions do not follow the Iranian economy directly in a way that is exposed to US sanctions unilaterally, they are still threatening to mobilize a system to feel the feeling of economic distress and air raid summer.

“With the return of sanctions in place, the world, including investors, banks and markets, is likely to” conclude that Iran is a pariah country for the foreseeable future. “The world will in particular the ability of Iran to rebuild its offensive and defensive capabilities in the wake of Israel and the United States attacks this summer. Vaez said:” It is more symbolic than sanctions like sanctions The American, but it is not without influence. “

It has reached this, immediately, because Iran will not agree to the European circumstances that would have believed in six months of Tehran. These conditions included unrestricted access to inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency, and insight around the location of 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium that Iran has already dealt with and resuming direct talks with the United States.

But this collapse, which crowned this week Irregular meetings In Geneva, it was just the coronation of years of failed diplomacy to reduce Iran’s expanding stocks quickly of enriched uranium, advanced centrifugal, and building blocks for a nuclear weapon. Iran has been largely accelerated towards a nuclear weapon after Trump withdrew from the 2015 Obama agreement, and several rounds of talks with the United States earlier this year In order There is no agreement.

Iran’s willingness to participate in talks about enrichment, or arriving by the IAEA inspectors, fell further after the air strikes earlier this summer by Israel and the United States. Many Iranian nuclear facilities were affected, and it is possible that the Iranian nuclear program is probably again Monthly Or even a few years.

“It is certain that Iran has made a mistake, but there is a blame for circumventing,” said Fayez. “If Trump does not withdraw from JCPOA, we will not be here, so this is the original sin. But the last offer of Europe was not practical either, because it did not provide any upwards to Iran, but only six months stopped on Snapback. Instead of introducing the Iranians, they only made their feet and played a game of chicken.

There is still a 30 -day window for diplomacy at the last minute before passing the six security council decisions between 2006 and 2010 (1696and 1737and 1747and 1803and 1835And 1929) Return into effect. E3 countries said in its statement: “We will use a 30 -day period to continue to communicate with Iran on our extension offer, or any serious diplomatic efforts to restore Iran’s compliance with its obligations. ” E3 hopes that by playing the final pressure card and running Snapback, Iran can force Iran to a more absorbing position. But this is unlikely, as Vaez said, where all parties cling to the maximum positions in issues such as enrichment and reaching the International Atomic Energy Agency.

“There is not enough of the common floor to believe that there may be sufficient progress to stop the watch” on Snapback.

The reason that the return of these sanctions is inevitable is that from a procedural point of view, it works in the opposite direction from most things in the United Nations Security Council: any permanent member, including the United Kingdom, France and the United States, can veto any effort to cut Iran some stagnation and maintain old decisions on ice.

In practice, a return to ancient United Nations sanctions can have some effects on the Iranian economy and oil exports just because banks, insurance companies, trucks and others are likely to be less willing to work with Tehran. In addition, the revival sanctions will allow any country to intersect Iranian ships in the sea, which may complicate Iran’s ability to export crude in a violation of the current US sanctions.

Not so long ago, the great fear was for Iran to interact with protesting with withdrawal through the official withdrawal from the Nuclear Nuclear Treaty (NPT), which will have severe consequences for the world’s ability to monitor the nuclear development in Tehran.

Recently, however, Iran has Proposal Its response can be more moderate, such as ending cooperation with the IAEA inspectors. But since Iran’s cooperation with international inspectors was almost not almost since June – and not this week to watch refueling at an Iranian reactor – it would simply write down the status quo.

Iran’s lack of desire to withdraw from NPT may be a way to secure at least some of its few friends, Russia and China, both of which are permanent members of the United Nations Security Council. Although neither of them can prevent the return of these ancient measures to the United Nations, both can increase the implementation and implementation of these sanctions, giving Iran a degree of relief even if most of the world is in the world.

Therefore, after a decade of signing the original nuclear deal, and seven years after the American withdrawal, the diplomatic efforts to restrict Iran’s race to a nuclear weapon may be at the end. This will not be good for Iran, which will get the unlike sanctions that its capacity, or the international community, which will lose the vision of Iran’s nuclear state, or the United States, which wants to make sure that Iran is not approaching a bomb.

“It creates a scenario for everyone,” said Vaez.