The S&P 500 flirts with it’s all-time high, oil futures rise 1.4% after Middle East ceasefire

The S&P 500 today closed only 51 points from the high price of the high of 6,144 on February 19.

Dow Jones closed today a decrease of about 106 points, but it is still higher than its lowest level in the afternoon on Monday. Meanwhile, NASDAQ has finished 0.3 %, with Tuesday’s closure at 19,974. It is also joking with a return to the highest level ever, reaching 20,173 points from December 16, 2024.

The fact that American stocks not only recover from the April defeat, but a recovery to the highest levels in the records they saw before President Donald Trump’s policies, indicate that the markets may have begun to reset the era of increased uncertainty that investors themselves.

The total levels of uncertainty in the market have decreased compared to its peaks in the wake of this directly to Trump’s tariff policy. (It was reaffirmed by the President of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, during the Certificate of congress on Tuesday. But the market conditions did not return to a wet routine that investors welcomes.

On the other hand, many issues that ROIL markets can fall from the Middle East, to the inflationary effects that are on the horizon of definitions, to the unprecedented government spending bill – in a decade style. Yes, they were not resolved, but they did not increase.

The United States has announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Trump has stopped removing and re -tariffs on a daily basis as it was just a few weeks ago. It seems that the United States and China are working on a commercial deal, but there is nothing tangible other than removing the 100 % definitions that they put on each other. The draft spending law, which will send deficit, is currently steeped in the sand in the American legislative branch.

This week began to decline in the stock market due to fears that the conflict in the Middle East will disrupt oil flows. But what teams can make two days.

On Wednesday, future oil contracts increased by 1.4 % after declining earlier this week.

The stocks also witnessed a similar decrease earlier this week. After a preliminary shock on Monday, this was followed by a somewhat surprising and silent reaction, indicated by Jake Shormeer, the wallet manager in Harbour Capital and a former member of the Federal Reserve Markets Group in New York.

“The risk premium on the market has continued for five hours,” Shormeer told Fortune: “I think the answer can be that the markets have become more efficient in getting used to these geopolitical properties.”

Shormeer said that the rise and landing in the past few days indicated a reactionary market.

“The broader point is that we are in the short term,” he said. “All this amazes me as a very satirical and short -term thinking at this stage.”

With volatile markets, including in trading during the day, some investors monitor the long game. Bob Robotti, the president and chief investment official in the Robotti & Company, said he focuses on the structural risks facing the economy instead of short -term geopolitical fluctuations.

For example, many major powers will prepare inflation to the top. Robotti said the main inflationary pressures such as “all aspects of customs tariffs, changing supply chains, and additional friction costs” are not temporary, but they are basic transformations in how the global economy works. He sees the result of these transformations, which leads to a permanent increase in prices.

“If inflation is a constant event and higher interest rates, this means a decrease in complications in everything in the investment world,” Roboty told Fortune. “This is particularly concerned given the focus of capital in the assets of growth and private stocks that have benefited from the low -price environment, making the entire system more vulnerable to changing the inflationary system.”