What to Expect From Russia-Ukraine War Summit

US President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday to discuss the ceasefire in Ukraine. There is a great deal of doubts about what can be actually accomplished at the Alaska Summit, especially given that Ukrainian President Foludmir Zelinski has not been invited. Until Trump on Monday, he reduced expectations of the summit, indicating that it is a “feeling of feeling”, indicating that he does not expect to get out of the meeting with a tangible agreement.

“We will see what the teachers are, and then I will invite President Zelinski and European leaders immediately after the meeting,” Trump said at a White House press conference. “I will not conclude a deal. It is no longer for me to conclude a deal.”

Trump said he expected to have “constructive talks” with the Russian leader on Friday. “I think it will be good, but it might be bad,” Trump said.

Meanwhile, KYIV and her supporters are concerned that Putin can use the meeting to push Trump to support a useful deal for Russia. Zelensky, who had a rocky relationship with Trump for years, warned in a speech on Sunday night that Putin wanted to “deceive America”. The Ukrainian leader also said on Monday that Putin will film a meeting with “America as his personal victory and then continue to act as before,” adding that he had not seen any signs that the Russian leader was serious about following peace.

John Foreman, a former UK defense supplement in Moscow and Kiev, said, Foreign policy Since the news has erupted at the planned Trump Putin meeting, it was “very concerned” regarding “confusion about the precise peace conditions that are being considered; Trump’s rush to obtain a deal to exhaust the” peace makers “credentials; its average towards Putin; and his apparent willingness to make a deal at the head of Ukraine.”

Foreman was referring to the 1938 Munich Agreement, which included Western powers that allow Nazi Germany to include Sodenland from Czechoslovakia. The relevant leaders, such as British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain, were seen as betraying Czechoslovakia to satisfy Adolf Hitler.

Trump was mysterious about what a peace agreement should require between Ukraine and Russia. But on Monday, he once again discussed the possibility of a deal that involves “exchanging lands” between Ukraine and Russia, while also saying that he “will try to restore some of this region to Ukraine.”

Russia occupies nearly five Ukraine lands at the present time. But Russia also regained all lands in the Kursk region occupied by Ukraine after a sudden incursion last summer, making it unclear what Kiev will offer in any deal that includes the spread of the land. Zelinski also rejected the lands to waive Russia as part of the peace agreement.

“The whole thing looks half -confined, not ready, and perhaps because of the participation [U.S. special envoy Steve] “At the same time,” Foreman, who is now a co -worker and the new East Strategy Center, is now not avoiding a co -fellow in Chatham House and the East Strategy Center.

The summit is scheduled to take place a week after the end of the deadline by Trump to Russia to end the war or face new sanctions, paralyzing. While Trump announced last Wednesday that he was raising a tariff for imports from India to 50 percent – a step aimed at punishing the country to buy Russian oil – he was also expected to follow up with more economic sanctions last Friday. Instead, Trump announced that he would meet Putin.

Trump’s announcement came after he met Wittouf with Putin last week on his fifth trip to Moscow as a special envoy for the United States. The critics of Witkeov, who had no previous diplomatic or governmental experience before the appointment of a special envoy, confirmed that he is outside his depth in negotiations on issues such as war in Ukraine.

Wittakov, who was accused of the frequency of talking points about the Kremlin about the war, faced renewed criticism in recent days amid reports that caused confusion among European diplomats after Putin’s misunderstanding during their meeting.

Looking at the unpredictable nature of Trump and the circumstances surrounding the summit, the European Kiev allies appear to be concerned about what comes after that.

European leaders said in a joint statement on Sunday: “We are convinced that the approach that combines active diplomacy with Ukraine’s support and pressure on the Russian Federation to end their illegal war can succeed.”

Trump was also invited to a virtual emergency session with European leaders, including Zelinski, on Wednesday before his negotiations with Putin.

The summit will visit Putin’s first visit to the United States since 2015 and its first visit to the country since 2007, which came out of the context of the United Nations General Assembly in New York.

The Russian leader cannot travel to many countries around the world because of his arrest issued by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for allegedly committing war crimes in Ukraine. The countries that are being tied up in the International Criminal Court must arrest him if he is taking their national soil. The United States is not a party to the International Criminal Court, which means that Putin’s arrest is not required if it comes to the country; However, it is still largely controversial that Trump called Putin to attend a meeting on the American soil – and in a country that was one day part of the Russian Empire.

Trump said twice on Monday that he was “going to Russia” to see Putin on Friday, although at the same press conference, he also praised the Russian leader for his willingness to come to the United States to meet.

“Do not inspire such statements that confidence that Trump will be ready to negotiate effectively with Putin,” said Michael McFul, former US ambassador, Michael McFul, on Trump’s comments.

The meeting is also risky for Trump politically given his frequency to end this war – and he is heading to himself as the only leader who is able to facilitate the deal.

“The risks are very high,” Foreman said.

At the Campaign’s path, Trump promised to end the war in Ukraine within “24 hours” of re -inserting the White House. Although Trump later suggested that he was joking or “sarcastic” about this short schedule, he continued to press a quick end of the war. In this process, Trump has repeatedly expressed his frustration with Zelinski and Putin because of the ongoing fighting, and often distort or ignore the fact that Russia fired an unbalanced invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

While much of Trump’s patience about the lack of progress in the ceasefire was aimed at Putin recently, he also continued to criticize Zelinski on Monday. Trump said he was “in line with Zelensky, but he does not agree to” what he did, “adding that” this is a war that should never have happened. “

Trump’s tendency to blame Zelinski is a lie to start war or failure to stop him, exactly the type of behavior that caused anxiety among some experts about his meeting with Putin.

“I am worried about that [Trump’s] Foreman said that the joint authoritarian instincts with Putin, and the lack of clarity in his mind about his position, and wants to want to be seen as a great man who decides the fate of nations in a stroke, is also concerned that Trump tries to try to unacceptable. Reconstruction, after Ukraine left isolation and weakening. “

If Trump comes out of the summit empty -handed, or embraces a frame of a deal calling for Ukraine to abandon the lands, he can be considered a president who failed to stand in front of a dictator.

“He must also understand that – for his legacy – he cannot sell Ukraine,” Foreman, a warning of Trump’s capabilities to compare him with Chamberlain if he traveled on this way. Foreman added: “If Trump does not get a ceasefire, the summit will fail. This must be his red line,” Foreman added.

Foreman said that he would be the first to revive Trump if he “pulled something from the bag or tries Russia and Ukraine from the deal,” and the US President attributed because of the “spending of great political capital” to reach a peace agreement. But Forman also said that Trump is “terrible Summiteer”, noting that when he mentioned it for the year 2018 with Putin, separately, “he did not achieve anything.”

But some experts are optimistic about the chances of Alaska’s meeting to help set the basis for a peace agreement.

“The meeting has the ability to advance in a sufficient deal, but only if Putin does not give what he wants, which is some Ukrainian lands with the possibility of taking more at a later time. Foreign policy.

Farid said that any agreement should not restrict Ukraine’s ability to defend itself, to receive weapons from the allies, or ask the foreign forces to enter its territory – and any restrictions that Putin wants to impose on an equal footing on Russia.

Farid said: “The United States has influence -Asi, to harm the Russian economy and the ability to continue to arm Ukraine,” Farid said. “We must use our strength to obtain a good deal for the United States, Ukraine, Europe and the free world – do not let our strength leak.”