Prediction Pulse: Kalshi, Polymarket bet on Hassett for Fed chair, plus recession and dildos
Welcome to the first version of Prepulice Pulse, the weekly diving in what people are betting on, and the large numbers that lead that bet.
Why do you start now, ask? Well, unless you live under a rock, you may notice that prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are reshaping the way we follow public opinion. In fact, they were stealing the spotlight from traditional opinion polls. An example of this, during the 2024 US presidential election, Polymarkket left most critics and dust papers with expectations that have proven accurate of positives.
Since then, I have caused snowball. Elon Musk collaborates Xai with Kalshi. Donald Trump, a member of the KALSHI Board of Directors, took advantage of Brian Quintns to chair the Future Trading Committee for Commodities. And the New York mayor’s race? Millions have been transferred to prediction markets.
This week was not different. One of the stakes with high risk on whether the recession is on the horizon, to the completely strange market on artificial bars that are thrown into the WNBA games, we have the most prominent events.
What is in the prediction markets for this week?
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Trump has again sent the prediction markets to Overdrive, this time with some informal comments about who might replace Jerome Powell as the next Federal Reserve.
In the mill of rumors, Kevin Haysit of the National Economic Council, Kevin Warb, former Federal Reserve Ruler, Christopher Waller, the current Federal Reserve Ruler, Treasury Secretary Scott Paystint.
Chat on the Squawk box from CNBC, Trump Favorite Play, type of.
Trump said about workshops, before adding the type of evacuation only that Trump “is very good.” “Sometimes it is very good, until you put them there, and then they don’t do it well. But … I think he is a very good man. I say Kevin and Kevin, both are very good.”
The market reaction was somewhat fast. Although he was completely avoided in Trump’s screams, wire shot at the top with a 47 % chance in the crash. Haseet slipped to 34 % and workshops, even with Trump’s praise, 14 % zigzag. The ethical of the story is that in the prediction markets, silence sometimes speaks with a louder voice.
On the other side of the spectrum, the betting still discusses whether the country is heading to recession this year. However, this market has been continuing for several months, but it is still a specific snapshot of the national mood. KALSHI now puts 12 % possibilities, a sharp decrease in the height of 64.8 % during fear in May. Polymarket feeds a similar image, hovering at about 14 % after it reaches 66 % in the same peak.
Polymarket
On Polymark, there is a completely different type of betting that attracts attention. Despite the objections of the players and coaches, multiple green sex games were thrown on the field during the direct WNBA games last week. The encryption -based prediction market allows people to bet on whether more of these disturbances will happen, after an unknown betting has moved away with more than $ 6000 of the latest illegal trick.
Before Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries fade, Polymark has already seen thousands of dollars on whether there is a specific type of sex game that will make its way to the ground. By mid -Friday, the possibilities were basically a hundred percent as a dildo will be thrown through many similar markets. There is even a market on the color of the object in question. Less than one percent of betting believes it will be green or yellow.
It may be just a flash in the pan, but the volume of joint trading in the current Dar markets in Polymarket has reached half a million dollars. It is an ideal example of how to convert viral moments of predictions into financial opportunities, even when these moments include procedures banned by league officials. Kalshi remained out of this chaos, while some polymers seem ready to push the borders to secure the victory.
Breaking: The suspect accused of throwing a green dildo in the game Phoenix Mercury last night, just appeared in court.
Kadine Lopez, 18, accused of hitting a person with sex. Lopez faces at least two charges, including non -disciplined attacks and behavior.
Editing homie pic.twitter.com/yoqvrkbnvm
Polymark SPORTS (polymarketsport) August 7, 2025
At least the arrests are made to throw Internet bars. Hope is for both behavior and betting on both behavior, although the Polymark SPORTS account on X still argues that the arrested fans should not be in prison.
Even with all the money that flying around, Polymark does not make much of these bets because they skip shipping fees. It is a classic step. Use the viral tanner to attract more players. Fun to them, for sure. For us? Difficult pass. Keep games in the game box.
Distinguished Image: Canva
Post -prediction pulse: kalshi, polymarket beet on Hassett for Federal Reserve Chair, as well as recession and Dildos first appeared on Readwrite.
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2025-08-08 14:00:00
