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St Louis Fed research finds US job losses may be linked to AI adoption

Industries that are racing towards artificial intelligence may already reap gambling bonuses, but its employees seem to pay the price as well.

According to a study conducted by Saint Louis Virus last week, “the United States may witness” the early stages of the functional displacement by artificial intelligence, “with a weighting of the sectors that adopted the emerging technology significantly.

Search. It was released on August 26, sought to determine whether artificial intelligence contributes to high unemployment. This comes after an undesirable surprise in the labor market at early last month when the work statistics office reviewed its data significantly: the May balance was reduced from 144,000 to 19,000, and the June total was reduced from 147,000 to 14,000 only, which led to a joint loss of 258,000.

The weakest image of the economy led to a set of questions: Is using the slowdown due to fears of the Trump tariff plan? Is the recruitment market slowing down due to uncertainty on a larger scale? Or is there a worker mainly reshaping the labor market?

We have also heard many warnings about displaced jobs due to artificial intelligence. Is there a possibility that this leads the basic shake?

“According to the actual acting population (RPS), 23 % of Amnesty International workers used to work at least once a week from late 2024-is a noticeable adoption rate of such emerging technology,” wrote Saint Louis Fair (Farid) Serder Ozkan and Nicholas Sullivan. “Despite this integration on a large scale, we still know a little little about the effects of hiring artificial intelligence due to the modernity of technology.”

What Fred can draw is to change the percentage of the point in unemployment between 2022 and 2025 in some industries, and its association with Amnesty International in each sectors.

The research showed a correlation coefficient of 0.57, which generally means that the professions that embraced the Importer I intensively showed the greatest increase in unemployment. In the maximum end, these sectors included computers and mathematics. In these professions, artificial intelligence adoption has been just less than 80 % while unemployment has increased by 1.2 % over the past three years.

Of course, if you have registered access to technical employment over the past three years, artificial intelligence is not the only story in the city. Great technology was particularly criticized because of its height during the epidemic, which prompted a wave of demobilization in the following years.

“All of these people were strange, this was true for a long time, and the scale of vanity represented in employing employees was this wrong deity in some respects … there is nothing until these people do – it is every fake work. This is what is shown, and what these people do actually, and they go to the meeting,” said Keith Rabua, Paypal president, in 2023, in 2023.

Likewise, technology specialists – especially those in the artificial intelligence field – luck Six numbers have been paid for “made” by some companies in order to stop their competitors in employing higher talents. However, by contracting these individuals without any real job for them, employees often end with a 10 -minute mission per day before using their working hours as a vacuum.

Large technology has not tried to hide the correction either. Mark Zuckerberg launched a “year of efficiency” in 2023, which has shrunk 22 % after two years of growth, with the addition of Sundar Pichai from Alphabet in 2024 that Google will “remove the layers to simplify implementation and speed of driving.”

Safety ports

At the other end of the spectrum, industries with artificial intelligence adoption rates witness a low level of recruitment that have not changed relatively. For example, the personal services industry had the lowest adoption rate for the sectors included in the survey and had an unchanged employment rate.

Likewise, the legal and social services sectors have been the rate of adoption of about 18 % and negative unemployment rates over the past three years.

There is also evidence that artificial intelligence can be more disturbing for professions depending on the person recently joining the labor market. For example, a historical study led by Professor Stanford Eric Pringglovson last month found workers in beginners in professions to which they are more than a 13 % decrease in artificial intelligence.

Deutsche Bank, which indicates the study of Brynjolfsson, noticed this morning: “It is one of the first prominent reports to determine the effects of artificial intelligence most likely in the labor market data. It finds that since the launch of November 2022, there have been 6 % of employment operations for workers from 22 to 25 in professions that most of which could have been increased through-in a way Example-at a time when donations increase-at all.

“In contrast, there was a 6 % increase to 9 % in employment for the most experienced workers in the same professions, as the study mentioned, noting that salary statements data.”

Goldman Sachs also indicated a change in employment due to artificial intelligence in a two -year research note – but not because of displacement. The Goldman SACHS analyst index found in August that 58 % of the survey analysts reported that the companies covering them were rented almost at the same speed at the beginning of 2025-but were concentrated in the attitudes related to the prosecution. On the contrary, companies were temporarily stopping or destroying the number of employees for the roles not related to AI.

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2025-09-03 07:42:00

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