The S&P 500 ($ Spy) (SPY) has increased today +0.66 %, and the Dow Jones Industries ($ DowI) (DIA) +1.21 %, and NASDAQ 100 ($ IUXX) (QQQ) is above +0.47 %. Futures increased in September (ESU25) +0.64 %, and the future NQU25 increased in September (NQU25).
Today, the stock indexes, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industries, and NASDAQ 100, are all published on a new continuous level ever. The shares are supported after the AUG CPI report today, an unexpected height in the unemployed demands for the weekly to increase the percentage of high bonds for 3.75 years and settle expectations for interest rate discounts. The T-Note returns for 10 years to the lowest level in 5 months at 3.99 %.
Initial unemployment demands in the United States of the weekly increased unexpectedly by +27000 to the highest level in 363,000 years, indicating the weak labor market from the expectations of a decrease to 235,000.
CPI increased in the United States to +2.9 % year on an annual basis of +2.7 % year on year in July, directly on expectations. Previous Aug CPI foods and energy +3.1 % on year on an annual basis, unchanged from July and right to expectations.
The market concentration this week will be on any commercial or tariff news. Friday, the consumer feelings index is expected to slip at the University of Michigan in the United States -0.2 to 58.0.
Market pricing is now 100 % chance to reduce a rate of -25 basis points and a 12 % opportunity to reduce an average of -50 basis points at the next FOC meeting from 16 to 17 September. After reducing an average -25 basis points -25 at the September 16-17 meeting, the markets deduct a 100 % chance to reduce the rate of -25 basis points at the October 28-29 meeting. The markets are now pricing the total interest rate rates in the rate of federal funds by the end of the year to 3.60 % of the current 4.33 % average.
External stock markets today are higher. Euro Stokes 50 rises +0.47 %. The Chinese Chinese compound rose to the highest level for one week and closed +1.65 %. Nikki’s share in Japan gathered 225 to the highest new level ever and closed +1.22 %.
Useful interest rates
December 10 from T-Notes (ZNZ5) was bounced today by tick +6. The T -Note revenue decreased for 10 years by -3.1 basis points to 4.015 %. T-Notes increased today to the highest level in 5 months, and the T-Note returns for 10 years decreased to the lowest level in 5 months at 3.992 %. T-Note prices rose today to the top after the United States in Aug CPI in expectations, but weekly initial unemployment demands unexpectedly increased to an increase of 3.75 years, a stimulating factor for the FBI policy and expectations for at least 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting next week. The markets are now pricing the total interest rate rates in the rate of federal funds by the end of the year to 3.60 % of the current 4.33 % average.
Today in the S&P 500 is limited to a new standard level in T-Notes. Also, the exhibition pressures are negative for T-Notes as the cabinet will make a auction of $ 22 billion from 30 years later 30 years later to extract a $ 119 billion auction this week from T-Notes and T-Bonds.
Fears about the independence of the Federal Reserve, negatively affecting T, due to President Trump’s attempt to shoot the ruler who feeds on Cook and Niwi Stephen Miran to hold the position of Federal Reserve Governor while he remains technical in his role in the White House in the Economic House of Economists.
European government bonds yield today mixed. The German Bund return increases for 10 years +1.0 BP to 2.662 %. The UK’s doctrine has decreased for 10 years to the lowest level in 4 weeks at 4.596 %, and 1.6 BP decreased to 4.616 %.
As expected, the European Central Bank retained the rate of deposit facilities unchanged by 2.00 % and said: “inflation is currently changing from the average goal 2 %, and the evaluation of the ruling council for extensive inflation expectations has not changed.”
The European Central Bank has increased the gross domestic product estimates in the euro area 2025 to +1.2 % of June forecast by 0.9 % and maintained energy estimation in the euro area 2025 at 2.4 %.
The European Central Bank of Lagarde said that the European Central Bank now sees the risk of growth in the euro area as more balanced and that the unexpected process has ended, indicating that the European Central Bank reduces interest rates.
Al -Makazat deducts a 3 % chance to reduce the interest rate by the European Central Bank at the Policy meeting on October 30.
American engines
Micron Technology (MU) has increased more than +9 % to lead semiconductors higher after Citigroup raised its target target to $ 175 from $ 150. Also, RAM Research (LRCX) increased more than +6 % and applied materials (AMAT) rising more than +3 %. In addition, KLA Corp (KLAC) increased more than +2 %, ASML Holding NV (ASML) and ARM Holdings PLC (ARM) rising more than +1 %.
Home builders and home construction suppliers climb today after a 10-year-long T-Note return to 5 months, which will reduce mortgage rates and support housing demand. Buildings of FirstSource (BLDR) increased more than +5 %. Also, Pultegroup (PhM), Lennar (Len), Dr Horton (DHI), and Toll Brothers (TOL) increased more than +2 %.
Centene (CNC) increased by more than +12 % to lead the winners in the S&P 500 after predicting the modified EPS in the entire year of $ 1.75, better than a consensus of $ 1.64.
Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) increased more than +25 % after the drone company said that its black widow system had been approved and added to the support and purchasing agency catalog.
Oxford Industries (OxM) increased by more than +24 % after reporting the profitability of the modified arrow in Q2 of $ 1.26, stronger than a consensus of $ 1.18.
Revolution drugs (RVMD) increased more than +14 % after reporting “very primary clinical results” in the first stage experience of Daraxonrasib in the treatment of pancreatic cancer.
Celsius Holdings (CELH) increased more than +2 % after Goldman Sachs started covering the arrow with a purchase recommendation and a price goal of $ 72.
Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) increased more than +2 % after a Barclays up to weight gain of equal weight with the price of $ 550.
Atlassian Corp (TEAM) increased more than +1 % after Guggenheim Securities has started covering the arrow with a recommendation recommendation and a price goal of $ 225.
Energy producers and energy service providers today are under pressure today, with a decrease in the price of raw WTI oil by about 2 %. As a result, APA Corp (APA), Occidental Petroleum (Oxy), Devon Energy (DVN), DiamondBack Energy (Fang) (Fang) (Fang) (Fang) (Fang) has decreased more than -1 %. Also, Conocophillips (COP) -0.92 % decreased.
Advition Biosciencees (RNA) decreased by more than -19 % after announcing that it intends to provide $ 500 million in shares shared in a written general offer.
Micro devices (AMD) decreased by more than -2 % to lead the losers in NASDAQ 100 after the Erste collection reduced shares to keep them from purchase.
Netflix (NFLX) decreased by more than -2 % after the chief product employee Kim announced that she is leaving the company.
Profit reports (9/11/2025)
Adobe Inc (Adbe), Electronics Frequency (FEIM), Ibex Holdings Ltd (Ibex), Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc (KALV), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd (KMTS), Kroger Co/The (KR), Lovesac Co/The (Love), RH (RH).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have positions (either directly or indirectly) in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are only for media purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
