The S&P 500 ($ Spy) (SPY) has decreased by -0.15 %, the Dow Jones Industries ($ DOI) index (DIA) (DIA) by -0.36 %, and the NASDAQ 100 ($ IUXX) index (QQQ) decreased by -0.10 %. Futures decreased in September (ESU25) by -0.23 %, and NASDAC’s futures decreased in September (NQU25) by -0.16 %.
The stock indicators abandoned early gains today and turned into a decrease with the start of the FOMC meeting for two days. The markets expect that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates at the end of Wednesday for the FOMC meeting for two days. However, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ shares decreased from new standard levels and decreased after production and manufacturing reports in the United States were stronger than the United States, were noisy for the federal reserve policy.
The signs that the spending of consumers in the United States is a positive factor for the economy and stock markets after AUG’s retail sales have increased more than expected. Also, the strength in technological stocks supports the broader market, led by a gathering in semiconductor stocks.
Retail sales in the United States increased 0.6 % m/m, stronger than +0.2 % m/m. Also, Aug Ex-UATOS +0.7 %/m, stronger than +0.4 % m/m.
The AUG import price index in the former United States increased +0.2 % m/m, slightly stronger than +0.1 %/m.
Aug’s manufacturing production in the United States increased unexpectedly +0.2 % m/m against expectations for a decrease -0.2 %/m.
The United States’ housing index in the United States has not changed at its lowest level in 32 years old, 32 years old, that is, weaker than the increase expectations to 33.
Most of the main standard indexes in the United States, including the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industries, and NASDAQ 100, continue to spread record levels, driven by expectations of interest rate discounts in the Federal Reserve. The weak labor market news and the relatively existing inflation reports have strengthened at least -25 basis points by the Federal Reserve at the TUE/Wed FOMC meeting and a total of 70 basis points of price discounts by the end of the year.
The markets this week will continue to focus on any new or tariff news. On Wednesday, FOMC is expected to reduce the target of the Federal Money Fund by -25 basis to 4.00 % -4.25 % from 4.25 % -4.50 %, and the Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will provide POOC comments. On Thursday, the weekly initial unemployment claims are expected to decrease by -23,000 to 240,000.
Market pricing with a 100 % chance of reducing an average -25 basis points and 5 % opportunity to reduce an average -50 basis points at the conclusion of the TUE/Wed FOMC meeting. After the fully expected interest rate -25 at this week’s meeting is reduced, the markets deduct an opportunity by 84 % of a rate of 3-25 basis points at the next FOMC meeting on 28-29 October. Market pricing in the average rate of amputation in the rate of federal funds to 3.65 % of the current 4.33 % rate.
Foreign stock markets today are mixed. Euro Stokes 50 decreased -0.86 %. The Chinese Shanghai +04 % closed. Nikki’s share in Japan gathered 225 to a new record and closed 0.30 %.
Useful interest rates
December 10 of T-Notes (Znz5) today rises +1. The T -Note revenue decreased for 10 years by -0.2 basis points to 4.036 %. DEC T-Notes has been recovered from early losses and is slightly higher. I pushed a short cover to the top day after the shares gave up early gains and turned into a decrease. T -Notes also has the support of expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by at least -at least at the end of the FOMC meeting, which will continue today, Wednesday.
T-Notes initially decreased to a decrease today after retail and retail sales reports increased more than expected. Also, the pressure pressure on T-Notes increases as the cabinet will make a auction of $ 13 billion from 20 years later today.
Fears about the independence of the Federal Reserve, negatively affecting T, due to President Trump’s attempt to shoot the ruler who feeds on Cook and Niwi Stephen Miran to hold the position of Federal Reserve Governor while he remains technical in his role in the White House in the Economic House of Economists.
European government’s revenues move to the top of the day. The German Bund return increases for 10 years +0.8 basis points to 2.699 %. The UK’s revenue increases for 10 years +2.2 basis points to 4.655 %.
Industrial production increased July July +0.3 % M/m, weaker than +0.4 % m/m, but June was reviewed up to -0.6 %/m from -1.3 %/m.
Employment costs in the euro Q2 increased to +3.6 % on an annual basis of +3.4 % on an annual basis in Q1.
The German Sep ZEW expectations for economic growth increased unexpectedly +2.6 to 37.3, stronger than a decrease to 25.0.
“It is clear that inflation in the euro area is at the current target level, and if we look at the medium term, it is still hovering about 2 % or very close to it. Given these directions, the sequence of interest rates by ECB is very close to the end.”
The bares are due to a 2 % opportunity to reduce the interest rate by the European Central Bank at the next policy meeting on October 30.
American engines
The strength in chips today leads technology shares higher. On the semiconductor (ON) rises more than +2 % to lead the winners in NASDAQ 100. Also, Intel (INTC), ASML HOLD NV (ASML), Qualcomm (Qcom), and micro chips (MCP) increased more than +1 %.
Energy producers and energy service providers rise to the top of the day, as the price of raw in the vinyl toyti increased more than +1 % at the highest level in 1.5 weeks. APA Corp (APA) increased more than +4 %, DiamondBack Energy (Fang) increased more than +2 % to lead winners in NASDAQ 100. Also, Devon Energy (DVN), Western oil (Oxy), and Valero Energy (VLO) more than +2 %. In addition, Conocophillips (COP), Petroleum Marathon (MPC), Baker Hughes (BKR), CVX (CVX), and Exxon Mobil (XOM) more than +1 %.
Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN) increased more than +27 % after Walt Disney said she was planning a 2 % royal rights interest in the company.
Bloom Energy (Be) increased more than +6 % after the Morgan Stanley lifted from the target price to $ 85 from $ 44.
Defity Dynamics (STLD) increased more than +5 % to lead the winners in the S&P 500 after predicting the EPS average Q3 of $ 2.60 -2.64 dollars, better than a consensus of $ 2.58.
Ferguson Enterprises (Ferg) increased more than +5 % after reporting the fourth -quarter revenue worth $ 8.50 billion, stronger than a consensus of 8.41 billion dollars.
ORACL (ORCL) increased more than +2 % after CBS News stated that the company is among the consortium of companies that will enable Tiktok to continue operations in the United States if a framework deal is completed.
Hirchi increased by more than +2 % after upgrading the Goldman Sachs arrow to buy from Sell with the price of $ 222.
The Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) increased by more than +1 % after its council approval of an additional $ 500 million for the shares resetting program.
Dave & Buster’s Entertainment (Play) decreased more than -16 % after reporting the profitability of the modified arrow in Q2 of 40 cents, much less than the consensus of 89 cents.
Rocket LAB (RKLB) decreased more than 9 % after announcing it planned to provide $ 750 million of regular stocks in the market supply.
Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) has decreased more than -8 % to lead the losers in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 index after TD COWEN reduced shares to keep them from buying.
Everst Group Ltd (EG) decreased by more than -2 % after Wolfe Research began covering the stocks with a recommendation from the weak performance and targeted a price of $ 287.
The New York Times decreased by more than -2 % after President Trump said he was getting $ 15 billion in defamation against the company.
Ralph Lauren (RL) decreased more than -1 % after sales expected that they would grow by a percentage of two numbers annually until 2028, and the growth of what the company published in the last quarters.
Profit reports (9/16/2025)
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM), Ferguson Enterprises Inc (Ferg), Ispire Technology Inc (ISPR), Nexpoint Divesified Real Estate Trust (NXDT), US Gold Corp (USAU).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have positions (either directly or indirectly) in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are only for media purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
