Trump’s Iran Attacks Undermine the Nuclear Diplomacy That Could Bring Peace

It is tempting that the joint attack of the United States of Israel on Iran may deal with the problem raised by the Iranian nuclear program. Certainly, the Trump administration and Hox in Washington are trying to do its best to treat it in this way. But the truth is that we entered an unstable era.

President Donald Trump’s strikes were Iran: it is certainly illegal, most likely unpopular, and undoubtedly. Democrats and other anti -war leaders must tend to all these points. Only by doing this, they can help create a political climate where diplomacy has an opportunity to succeed. As long as Trump believes that his problems can be solved by simply pressing the “bomb” button, he will surely do this whenever he feels frustrated in future conversations. This means that instead of the borders that are negotiated on the Iranian nuclear program, Washington will record the future of the ongoing war.

It is tempting that the joint attack of the United States of Israel on Iran may deal with the problem raised by the Iranian nuclear program. Certainly, the Trump administration and Hox in Washington are trying to do its best to treat it in this way. But the truth is that we entered an unstable era.

President Donald Trump’s strikes were Iran: it is certainly illegal, most likely unpopular, and undoubtedly. Democrats and other anti -war leaders must tend to all these points. Only by doing this, they can help create a political climate where diplomacy has an opportunity to succeed. As long as Trump believes that his problems can be solved by simply pressing the “bomb” button, he will surely do this whenever he feels frustrated in future conversations. This means that instead of the borders that are negotiated on the Iranian nuclear program, Washington will record the future of the ongoing war.

On June 21, eight days after Israel launched a major sudden attack against Iran, the United States joined the war. The B-2 STELTH 14 bombers were dropped from the most powerful non-nuclear bombs in the United States, the penetration of huge munitions, on targets in Fordow and Natanz. Almost at the same time, an American submarine launched more than twenty Cruise missiles against a nuclear facility in Asfahhan. Then on Monday afternoon, after an Iranian symbolic missile attack against an American base in Qatar, Trump announced the ceasefire, partially mediated by Qatar.

Tuesday, New York Times She stated that the initial evaluation of the Defense Intelligence Agency had found that the attacks had only restored the Iranian nuclear program within weeks. Trump immediately retreated with multiple, angry social participation. Then the administration presented an evaluation from the Israeli Atomic Energy Committee, which Israeli sources told me that they believed that the secrecy was raised quickly and released at the request of Trump. The evaluation claimed, “The destroyed strike on Fordo … has regained Iran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons for many years.”

Nuclear experts are not sure. “One series of 174 IR-6 centrifuges can be produced 90 % of the 60 % fertilized materials, whose location was not known, in 10-20 days,” wrote James Acton, co-director of the Carnegie International Peace Policy Program. “Iran does not need to rebuild enrichment facilities on its previous scale to get the bomb.”

As for public opinion, a CNN opinion poll found on June 24 that the attacks were “unpopularly popular … with a strong rejection of the superiority of the share who agreed strongly.” Another poll of the University of Koinibics found opposition to the majority of strikes against Iran, with “the vast majority concerned [the] You will be attracted to a war with Iran. “

The democratic response was mixed. Many Democrats immediately condemned both strikes and Trump’s failure to search for a constitutionally required congress license to use military power. As part of this effort, Democratic Senator Tim Kane announced that it would enter a decision under the law of war authorities while actors Thomas Massi, a Republican, Roo Khanna, a democratic, announced that they would do the same in the House of Representatives.

They are on a fixed legal basis. Brian Venocan, the chief adviser to the International Crisis Group and the former Foreign Ministry lawyer, described the attack as “clearly illegal.” Law professor Ona Hathaway, a former special advisor at the Ministry of Defense, wrote in New York Times The strikes were illegal during the era of both the United States and the international.

Democrats need to tell the country about the reason for the failure of Trump’s attacks on all these fronts. Otherwise, the risk is that instead of a more durable diplomatic solution, we will see more strikes in the future. These will come with doubtful returns and increasing risks.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was clearly hoping to attract the United States to a long -term struggle to topple the Iranian government, and he could not be happy with Trump’s one blow and then announced the ceasefire. But the fact remains that he has now succeeded in normalizing the idea that Israel can attack Iran unilaterally whenever it wants.

Unfortunately, a precedent for this approach: Gaza. For years, Israel’s approach to Gaza was to keep it under severe restrictions and allow its Hamas government only with adequate support for zigzag, then, when a noticeable threat appeared, the bombing of the lands for a few days or weeks, and returning to the current situation. The very offensive term for this approach between Israeli policy makers was “cutting grass”. Its defenders have seen, if not an ideal approach, at least sustainable.

This was true until October 7, 2023. But instead of rethinking this approach in the wake of the horrific terrorist day attacks, Israel, with our support, chose to apply it to the entire region. The expansion of this strategy began in Lebanon. After the November ceasefire, the Israeli Defense Forces continued to carry out strikes on Hezbollah “in order to ensure that the group backed by Iran is unable to carry out attacks or rebuild the infrastructure in the short term.” According to Israeli analysts, “Israel believes that Lebanon is a model to ensure that Iran is not trying to rebuild its nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities.” We can see this model at work in the recent Al -Jazeera report that between October 7, 2023 and June 13, 2025, Israel carried out nearly 35,000 registered attacks across five countries: occupied Palestinian regions, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Iran.

This approach will not bring real and permanent safety. accident Foreign affairs An article from Robert Malley and Hussein Aga argues: “It may not take place long before more Palestinians, Lebanese, Iranians and others motivated by their case – erasing them, friends or family members, and they are embraced by revenge, with the darkness as the only horizon – they put in the unconventional forms of wars.” And they warn that the threat includes “more deadly and pyramids technologically than the kidnapped aircraft and buses that were kidnapped yesterday, the seizure of hostages, and suicide attacks.”

It is easy to imagine this terrifying future if Washington does not change the path. To prevent this, Trump should return to the diplomatic path that Netanyahu tried to tank his attack on Iran. Trump has already shown his ability to stand up to Netanyahu by pushing him to agree to the ceasefire in January in Gaza, and recently ended his war on Iran. He can do this again, bring European partners to Iran’s negotiations and drop the demand for any zero enrichment, which is the pill in a specially designed name to prevent a new agreement.

Trump then must apply the same pressure towards a permanent ceasefire in Gaza, ending the crisis that sparked this war, and begins a multilateral process aimed at building a real and permanent regional peace that does not depend on permanent repression and occupation. The last 20 months should have been installed once and for all, as this approach would lead.