What Did Trump’s Summits With Putin and Zelensky Achieve?

After a strange summit, it was manufactured in Washington on Monday, aiming to make Russia’s escalating war on Ukraine closer to the conclusion that US President Donald Trump pledged to achieve him even before he took office, almost all big questions are still unanswered. Here are a few major issues in which the United States, Ukraine and its European supporters and Russia will struggle in the coming days and weeks.

1. What are the security guarantees that Trump already provides Ukraine?

At the Campaign in 2024, Trump pledged not to adhere to the United States forces to Ukraine. But during his meeting with the Oval Office with Ukrainian President Folodimir Zelinski on Monday, Trump twice rejected the exclusion of the transmission in the American forces to ensure Ukraine’s security as part of a final peace agreement, which raised hopes to change his opinion.

After a strange summit, made for Washington on Monday, aimed at bringing Russia Rising war In Ukraine closer to the conclusion that US President Donald Trump has pledged to achieve him even before he took office, almost all big questions are still unanswered. Here are a few major issues in which the United States, Ukraine and its European supporters and Russia will struggle in the coming days and weeks.

1. What are the security guarantees that Trump already provides Ukraine?

At the Campaign in 2024, Trump pledge The United States forces do not commit Ukraine. But during it The Oval Office meeting With Ukrainian President Folodimir Zelinski on Monday, Trump twice refused to exclude the sending of American forces to ensure Ukraine security as part of a final peace agreement, which raised his hopes to change his opinion.

However, on Tuesday, it is once again The presence of American forces participating in any peacekeeping force in Ukraine was excluded, although he said that Washington could provide air support, and suggested that Britain and France had assumed the initiative in the sovereignty of Ukraine after any peace deal in the end. But even this is not certain: the Russian Foreign Ministry directly rejected the idea of any NATO forces in Ukraine to protect the country from renewed Russian aggression.

It is also unclear what is meant by the concept of security guarantees “similar to Article 5” for Ukraine, in which Trump Steve’s envoy said that Putin agreed to the Alaska’s top. Article 5 is the condition of mutual defense in NATO. Without involving the coalition across the Atlantic Ocean, there is no official mechanism to link any “alliance to prepare” to come to the future defense of Ukraine. Ukraine is not a member of NATO, and the clear condition that Trump recognized after his meeting with Alaska with Russian President Vladimir Putin Ukraine never joins the alliance It also raises questions about how to ensure long -term security for Ukraine.

2. What are these security guarantees when I saw Ukraine in 1994 Budapest Memorandum And 2015 Minsk Conventions Show it all the sites?

It seems that Ukraine and its European partners are serious about the nomination of US and Western security measures to Kev, but Ukraine is two and three times shy. Shortly after the fall of the Soviet Union, and again shortly after the first invasion of Russia for Ukraine, the United States, Europe and Russia, all of them committed to ensuring security in Ukraine and regional integrity, yet Russia still launching its full invasion in February 2022.

3. Will there be a bilateral meeting between Putin and Zellinski? Or a triple meeting including Trump?

According to Trump’s interruption, his meeting with European leaders was late on Monday to talk to Putin about a meeting with Zelinski. However, it is still unclear whether Russia – which has rejected a previous motivation from Kyiv – agrees to such a meeting, and if so, where will it be held and what might be the agenda. Switzerland praises its neutrality to host any meeting, but Putin (required to be arrested for international war crimes) seems keen to avoid traveling to Western Europe. Istanbul seems to be an option, although Türkiye has Bad memories The Ukrainian negotiators of boredom are the maximum Russian demands.

4. Will Ukraine be able to surrender Crimea? What about Donbas?

The surrender of some lands of peace is an issue that Zelinski has falter since 2022. Crimea, which was illegally included in Russia in 2014, in particular is difficult because Moscow has spent a decade to unify its grip on the peninsula, in addition to building a land bridge (and an actual bridge) to link it to other Russian tapes.

“If President Zelinski decides that he wants to allow NATO to leave, and that he is ready to allow the Crimea to leave, I think the Europeans will accept it,” said Julian Smith, a former American ambassador to NATO. “My feeling is that Zelensky will only accept these two terms for a long list of concessions on the Russian side, any other form of security guarantee.”

The Ukrainian Eastern Land Completely combined as Donbas is more difficult. Some parts, such as Donetsk, are still the battlefield and have not yet become Russian pockets. They are (or they are) the heart of the coal and mineral industries in Ukraine, as well as future hope to extract natural gas. Full removal from eastern Ukraine to satisfy Russia will leave Ukraine smaller, of course, but also with a hungry neighbor on the verge of using new acquisitions as a launching launch on land in the future.

There is also the issue of the constitution of Ukraine, Any tapes National lands fade unless this step is ratified through a referendum at the country level. Zelensky cannot abandon five country.

5. What will lead the agreement in which the United States has brought in the inclusion of the national borders of the international regime?

The United States, which begins at least in the twentieth century, was firmly opposed to annexation wars. The first Gulf War specifically fought to refute Iraq’s attempt to extract Kuwait through violence. US administrations condemned Russia’s landscapes in Georgia and Ukraine in early this century.

After that, the previous US administrations did not enjoy the idea of annexing Greenland, restoring the Panama channel, or made the forced Canada in the state 51. So this arrangement based on the bases may have already died.

6. What will any peace deal on compensation and rebuild the war?

The United Nations is already exchanging Russia’s damage to Ukraine in 524 billion dollars And count.

Europe, the United States, and a few other countries are still possible 300 billion dollars One of the descent of the frozen Russian Central Bank, which can be used to pay the price of part of the reconstruction. However, there was no general debate on how this money corresponds to any peace deal.

Then again, Putin is seeking economic relief from any peace agreement – he flew to Alaska last week in the hope of reviving economic relations with the United States and perhaps reducing sanctions – and the amazing Russian economy barely in a situation that allows him to recover Ukraine, even if the Kremlin agreed to do so. This is likely to leave the draft law on Ukraine and its European neighbors.

7. What happens if all this diplomacy is nothing?

Trump previously said that he would move away from the peace process in Ukraine if he could not impose an agreement. If Ukraine is unable to adhere to amputation of patriotism, or if security guarantees are not fulfilled, or if Russian peace initiatives prove hollow after all, both sides may return to trenches by autumn, and not that they left at all. And the most bloody European war since World War II will continue, in another winter.

When a reporter at the Oval Office was asked on Monday whether this was “the end of the road to get American support for Ukraine … a deal or a deal,” Trump replied, “I can never say that. It is never the end of the road. People are killed, and we want to stop it. So I will not say it is the end of the road.”

Nevertheless, this road extends, is the guess of anyone.