Xi’s absence from BRICS Summit sparks speculation about China’s influence

Chinese president Xi Jinping will not attend the Brex summit this week in Brazil, which is the first time that the Chinese leader has been absent from gathering major emerging economies. The sudden decision has sparked widespread speculation about internal political dynamics within China and the tense cohesion of Berkes itself.

The official interpretation of China – “scheduling struggle” and the fact that Shi has already met Brazilian President Luiz Inosio Lula da Silva earlier this year, according to the South China Morning Post – was suspicious. Prime Minister Lee Qiang will attend the summit at the eleventh place, as he continued in the last direction to expand the eleventh of its manifestations on the world stage.

“This is not logical,” said Gordon Zhang, an expert in relations between the United States of China. “There are many other countries at the BRICS summit, not just Brazil. For me, it is extremely important that Shi Jinping is not going. It indicates turmoil at home – there are signs that he lost control of the army and that civil competitors reaffirm force. This is one of the symptoms of that.”

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Brian Burak of the Heritage Foundation agrees that the absence of something confirms deeper issues: “It is another indication that the Brexes will not be affiliated with China in the global south.” He pointed out that countries such as Brazil and Indonesia have recently imposed a tariff on China due to excessive dumping and dumping, which indicates the expansion of the rift within the group.

“China is actively hurting all of these countries, perhaps with some exceptions, through its malicious commercial policies, anxiety and excessive capabilities.”

Tensions with India and global trade pressure may also be factors

Some analysts point out that China and India’s friction as a contributing factor in Xi’s decision to overcome the summit.

“China has been in war with India decades ago,” Burak said mainly. “These are mainly conflicting interests. It is difficult to see China changes its behavior in the short term, and this will keep the tensions high.”

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to play a leading role in the gathering, and may be another deterrent to attend something.

The other leading leader – Russian President Vladimir Putin – is expected to address the group’s video.

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Chinese President Xi Jinping, the right, and Russian President Vladimir Putin, the left, are the two main leaders of the Brix alliance. (Sergey Poplev, Sputnik, Karimlin Ballar

Brexes: United by name, divided into long tensions over decades

Brazil, Russia, India and China later joined South Africa, and the Brexes depicted as a non -Western balance of Group 7. It expanded to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates, and recently, Indonesia, to strengthen its economic imprint.

Economist Christian Brezz highlighted the huge scope of Brexes: “The BRICS now includes 12 full members and up to 23 years when the partners are calculated. Collectively, they represent more than 60 % of the world’s gross domestic product and about 75 % of the world’s population. They control vast natural resources and an increasing share of global trade flows.”

However, despite its measure, the mass remains ideologically and strategically fragmented. “It is a group of countries that hate each other,” said Burak. “China hurts many of them through unfair commercial practices. There are not many incentives for real unity.”

Currency ambitions and strategic differences

The aspirations of the coalition have gained the US dollar challenge through alternative payment systems and the potential BRIC currency – but experts warn against exaggerating this threat.

“There was a lot of fear about the BRICS coin,” said Burak. “But the interests of these countries are completely different. There is more smoke than fire when it comes to challenging the currency to the dollar.”

Zhang said this suspicion: “The only country that can challenge the dollar is the United States. The weakness in the dollar is due to what we do locally, and not what the Brex does.”

However, Brigz has offered a counter point, arguing that the Brexes are already reshaping the global currency flows.

“They are moving away from the dollar to the digital yuan, rupees, Robles. China launched a quick alternative that was already adopted by the Caribbean banking sector – trillion dollars.”

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South African President Cyril Ramavusa, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin depicts a family photo during the BRICS Summit in Kazan on October 23, 2024. (Alexander Zemlianichenkopool/AFP via Getty Images)

Is the Brex still a threat to us?

While its cohesion is still doubtful, the BRICS is a long-term challenge to the American influence, especially in the areas where Washington has declined in diplomatic and economic terms.

“China filled the emptiness that the United States left in places like Africa,” said Briggs. “Now it controls about 38 % of the world’s minerals. Meanwhile, the Russian economy has doubled despite the sanctions, because they reduced dependence on the dollar.”

However, Zhang believes that India is a brake on any aggressive tilt of Western control. “I am”-and this is India. Moody does not want to be part of the West anti-mass. As long as India is in the Brexes, the rest of the world is safe. “

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to play a pioneering role at the top, and may be another deterrent to attend something. (SIPA USA via AP)

Lost opportunity – or a calculated force step?

For some, the instability that something does not carry in Beijing. For others, the opposite: it shows confidence in China’s domination of other Brexes.

“It should not be there,” as Prees claimed. “She allows him to authorize him. China is trading with nearly 80 % of the world now. It is moving the agenda forward even in case of absence.”

What is clear is that the BRICS is still evolving – its internal contradictions are clear as its geopolitical ambitions. Whether the absence of something represents a decline or the re -calibration is still one of the main questions that hover over the top in Brazil.